Week 13 NFL Picks

This has all been rushed due to a hectic week. Sorry about the lack of write ups.

 

New Orleans @ Atlanta: The Saints seem to always have the Falcons number. The 3 points here represent good value and given the Falcons haven’t been playing well as late I like the Saints
Saints +3 1 unit

Seahawks @ Bears: Bears -3 1unit

Colts @ Lions: Colts +6.5 1unit

Giants @ Redskins: Giants -3 1unit

Tampa @ Denver: Tampa +7.5 1unit

Browns @ Oakland: Cleveland -2 1unit

Steelers @ Ravens: Steeler +7.5 1unit

 

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Week 12 Power Rankings

1. Houston Texans: Were lucky against the Lions but to win, away from home, on a shortened week all after an overtime game is nothing to sniff at. The only worry is Arian Foster who is on course for 361 carries. Can he handle that sort of load?

2. Denver Broncos: They looked past the Chiefs and almost paid for it. They are still a very good team and a number of good teams have been played close by the Chiefs.

3. Atlanta Falcons: Have not fully righted the ship yet but the win against the Bucs was important. Matt Ryan still looks slightly out of sorts and that is a concern.

4. New England Patriots: Had their way with the Jets on Thanksgiving and now need to keep ticking over before the playoffs. Shouldn’t rush Gronk back, they need him healthy for the playoffs.

5. San Francisco 49ers: Colin Kaepernick had his coming out party against the Saints. He isn’t as polished as Alex Smith but his downfield passing gives the team another dimension. A much more dangerous team with him involved.

6. Chicago Bears: With Cutler throwing the ball to Marshall they are very good. Without them they are a poor team. Injuries are starting to build up.

7. New York Giants: Started their late season form earlier this year with a dismantling of the Packers on SNF. As good as anyone on their day. Tough schedule coming up but a win against the Redskins should give them the division.

8. Green Bay Packers: The loss to the Giants will worry the team and I expect a big reaction this week against the Vikings this week. The NFC North is probably the best division in football but they should make the playoffs with relative ease.

9. Baltimore Ravens: Only beat the Chargers due to a dodgy call by the officials on Ray Rice’s catch and run on 4th and 29. This was a huge call and subsequent win for the Ravens. They have a comfortable lead in the division but their run in is really tough. Could easily go 0-5.

10. Indianapolis Colts: Here in part due to the failure of others but they are deserving of high ranking. They needed to beat the Bills if they wanted a playoff berth and bounced back well after the Patriots loss.

11. Seattle Seahawks: Need to win away from home if they want to crack the top 10 again. They are also hurt by the loss of Browner and Sherman. Could be a rough 4 games without them.

12. Pittsburgh Steelers: It is safe to say they need Big Ben back. Charlie Batch probably needs to retire. The AFC North battle should be fascinating.

13. Washington Redskins: Another ridiculous game for RGIII this week. The defense still has issues but the Skins are a danger to any team. At 5-6 they will need to win out to guarantee the playoffs. MNF against the Giants is a massive fixture.

14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Continued to play really hard and very nearly got the win against the Falcons. At 6-5 they are very much still in the hunt but have a tough up coming schedule. It might be a step too far.

15. New Orleans Saints: Came back down to earth against the 49ers. They have two huge games against the Falcons and Giants in the next two weeks. Need to win out if they want a playoff berth.

16. Minnesota Vikings: Were poor against the Bears. Brandon Marshall looked like a man against boys. Chris Cook is a real miss for the Vikings as is Percy Harvin.

17. Miami Dolphins: Bounced back after a few of bad weeks. However it doesn’t get any easier this week with the Patriots this week followed by the 49ers.

18. Cincinnati Bengals: The season has been turned around for Cincy. Still have to play the Ravens and Steelers and have an outside chance to take the division. Need to prove they can compete with the best consistently.

19. Detroit Lions: Were very unlucky on Thanksgiving. Played hard and were the better team. Leshoure has given them a running game and Calvin Johnson is in beast mode.

20. Dallas Cowboys: Were embarrassed on Thanksgiving. The defense looked appalling. Romo almost led them back but fell short. They get to beat up on the Eagles this week.

21. St. Louis Rams: Bounced back after their poor performance against the Jets. Rematch against the 49ers this week. Bradford has started passing down the field which is encouraging.

22. Buffalo Bills: Needed to beat the Colts to keep their faint playoffs hopes alive. They will be a dangerous team down the stretch but there will be plenty of decisions to be made in the offseason.

23. San Diego Chargers: Shouldn’t have lost to the Ravens after a blown call by the refs. Still not scoring enough points even with ok yardage

24. Arizona Cardinals: The Ryan Lindley experiment didn’t go exactly to plan. No quarterback can succeed with that offensive line.

25. Jacksonville Jaguars: Had two good performances back to back which probably spell the end of both Blaine Gabbert and his cheerleader Gene Smith.

26. Cleveland Browns: Hopefully the win against the Steelers will give the team a lift and they can start winning games rather than just being in close ones. Weeden’s health an issue.

27. New York Jets: Mark Sanchez running into Brandon Moore was almost a week ago but it is still funny.

28. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton looked good again(and one me my fantasy football matchup) but it was against the Eagles. Will need to show more if they want to move up this list.

29. Tennessee Titans: Will be bitterly disappointed they couldn’t beat the Jags. They have reasonable talent but it isn’t playing up to expectations.

30. Philadelphia Eagles: Lame duck head coach and the team know it. They have given up. On the plus side Brandon Graham no longer looks like a total bust.

31. Oakland Raiders: Not even the chance to stick it to his old team could muster any life in Carson Palmer. He will be cut in the offseason so why not see if Pryor can give the offense a spark?

32. Kansas City Chiefs: Played the Broncos close but didn’t do enough to move off the bottom. The offense is turgid but at least the D stepped up.

India vs England: Second Test Preview

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First of all my bets for the first test went ok. While England failed miserably I bet on them mainly due to the value of the odds and I still feel they will win at least one test in this series. The other two bets went well. Alistair Cook was England’s best batsman and he was only seven runs shy of the top score in the first innings which was frustrating but I still feel I read the England batting lineup correctly. The third bet went well and Pragyan Ojha was the highest Indian wicket taker.

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Week 12 NFL Picks

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Last week went well. I got some late covers admittedly but I won on all but one game. Putting me up 6 units for the year. Currently three games are off the books so check back later for more picks.

Thanksgiving Day Games

Texans @ Lions: The Lions are awful at Thanksgiving the last time they won against the spread was in 2003. They are also done for the year and coming of a tough divisional loss. My only worry in this game is that the Texans are coming off overtime on a short week. However I think they looked past the Jags and will want to prove themselves on national tv here.

Texans -3 1unit Push

Patriots @ Jets: The Pats got their scare against the Jets last time and I think this time out they will crush them. I love them to win and I think they should cover the spread. Mark Sanchez had his good game last week he should stink the place up here.

Patriots -7 1unit. Win

Thanksgiving accumulator

Texans -3, Cowboys -3 and Patriots -3 @5.36 0.5units Loss

Sunday Games

Bills @ Colts: The Colts are the better team here and yet they are only favoured by 3 because they got blown out by the Pats. They played well in the early parts of that game and it was not as lopsided a game as the score makes out. They should cover the 3 against a Bills team that can’t play well consistently.

Colts -3 1unit

Rams @ Cards: Why are the Cards favoured in this game? The Rams looked sloppy last week but Jeff Fisher won’t let that happen again and the Cards are starting Ryan Lindley. The Rams will shut down the running game and ask the San Diego State product to beat them through the air. I can’t see him doing this even with Larry Fitzgerald.

Rams +2.5 1unit

Vikings @ Bears: The Line is finally up. I like the Vikings coming off a bye particularly with Jay Cutler being banged up. The Vikings have struggled at Soldier field in the past but I think they will put that behind them today. This is their biggest game of the season so far. I can see big days for Peterson and Allen.

Vikings +5 1unit